I am very proud of my 56.8% long term win percentage on my Football//BASEBALL/BASKETBALL over 30 years in business and my 56.8% win percentage on my Sports investment picks, and I'm constantly told by the number of times I hear novice gamblers say that 54-55% isn't even winning after taking into account the juice they have to pay on losses.
I'm not sure what kind of math those guys are using, but I didn't need to major in statistics to tell you that it only takes 52.4% winners to break even in sports betting at the standard 11 to 10 odds (that's 11 wins and 10 losses, which is 52.4%) - and odds better than that are readily available online these days. I can also tell you that even 55% winners is an outstanding investment.
One thing to take note of
You really need to study the nature of the bets you are making, and enter the arena with a plan of action to be a successfull professional gambler, its not all fun and games as youd think it is, and in the nature of sports betting, it is actually very hard work fighting to manipulate the odds into your favor. It can certanly be done in sports betting.
Investing in sports can be a profitable investment. RayPolacco-sportsinvestment.info/sports applies some of the same strategies and analyses used by Wall Street investment professionals to show that Sports Investing can indeed be viewed as an "Asset Class." We believe investing in Sports can be a good “diversifier” to a traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds.
Sports Investment Approaches
Our Sports Investment Approaches are all disciplined and systematic. They have been tested with a wealth of data that comprise thousands of games - over years of data - across every major sport. Results have proven to be robust and consistent.
Research and Results
We have shown that inherent returns exist within the sports markets. Indeed, sports have proven to be "more efficient" than the financial markets. That is, our researchers have found it easier to earn excess returns in Sports than in the Financial Markets!
Our researchers include professionals with many years of experience in: (a) actual Wall Street money management and investment research, (b) Sports statistical research , (c) and odds makers. As with any investment, it is wise to use a disciplined approach – as well as proper money management and risk management.
Sports Betting Vs Stock Market
Before we compare sports investment and stock market, lets learn the difference between the traditional gambler and the non traditional gambler (investor.) Be it sports betting, stock market, playing poker or any sort of gambling, the traditional gambler will be a long term loser because they gamble without edge and proper money management. These traditional bettors are usually degenerates, problem gamblers or "action junkies." A non traditional gambler (an investor) on the other hand is someone who only gambles (invests) with an edge and proper money management for long term success.
Sports betting attracts many traditional gamblers because of its simple nature and as a result traditional gamblers (long term losers) out number investors (long term winners.) Stock market on the other hand rarely attracts any traditional gamblers because of its complex structure and as a result investors out number traditional gamblers. We know that investors are long term winners relative to traditional gamblers who are losers. And that is exactly why many consider sports betting as gambling (high risk investment) and stock trading as investing (low risk gamble).
But if you look at sports investment and stock trading in terms of investors perspective only, sports investment is a much safer play because it is easy to manage, cheaper in the vig (commission) and much cheaper in the bankroll. Both are a form of gambling and the kicker with both is same--in order to be successful you need to be skillful, especially with money management AND finding the edge.
Sports investing/gambling is much easier to manage because most of the variables and information are publicly available and all you have to do is analyze everything to find the edge. Stock market on the other hand is more complex--monitoring the performance of companies is much harder than monitoring sports teams. There are too many unknown variables in the stock market that could affect the performance of your stocks. Often, these variables are not available to the public immediately and because of this it is really difficult to gain an edge unless you are an insider in the company or stock market. Insider trading is illegal but it is much more common than match fixing in sports betting.
When it comes to bankroll, sports betting wins hands down. Assuming you have the edge in sports betting and stock market, you are more likely to get much better return on your investment in sports betting than stock market. As mentioned before, professional sports investors do not bet any more than 1.5 to 3% of their bankroll in any bets. If you make all your bets at -110 (1.91) odds are fixed amount, you just need to hit 54% or better of your bets to make profit. At bettingresource we play -110 odds only when we play point spreads or totals--in most other occasions we play +ev bets with higher odds and this allows us to make profit even when we hit less than 50%. By betting 2 to 3% of the bankroll, a sports investor with a $10,000 bankroll can make bets in the volume of hundreds of thousands throughout the year. At vegas location, we make 1500 to 2500 bets each year with our weekly picks and the ROI in these bets are about 10%--that is a $20,000 to $30,000 net profit for a $10,000 investor after a year. In order to make similar profit in the stock market, one would need over $100,000 bankroll. In addition to the big capital required, your investment is also exposed to devastating loses overnight in case of recession or stock market crash. Sports betting is the only investment that will not be affected during tough economic times.
Finally, fees involved in stock trading are hard to overcome unless your capital is very large. There are also many levels of fees. You may here that the fee is only X amount per trade but this means 2X the fees because you have to execute the trade twice for each stock (once when you buy and once when you sell!) There is also the bid and ask fee. Bid price is the price announced by the buyer at which s/he is willing to purchase a stock. Ask price is the price announced by the seller at which s/he is willing to sell a stock. Bid and ask prices are never the same. In fact, the price announced by the seller (the ask price) is always higher than the bid price. As a result you are required to pay the ask price in case you have decided to purchase a stock and pay a higher price. On the other hand, if you decide to sell a stock you will have to receive the bid price, which is of a lower amount than the ask price. The difference between ask and bid prices is referred to as the spread. The spread goes to the pockets of the broker or specialist who was responsible for the stock transaction for the paying of other fees. There also numerous other account administration fees and commissions that you may encounter. For example, take a look at the fee schedule at E-trade and TD Ameritrade.
Therefore, contrary to the popular belief, sports betting is a much safer play than stock market if you approach it with an investors perspective. However, sports investing and stock investing are viewed differently by government regulators. Governments around the globe encourage stock wagering, a nice respectable occupation in the eyes of most. Sports bettors, on the other hand, are shunned. They do not wear suits and ties. And in many cases, sports investors do not enjoy the support of the general public or the government regulatory bodies. Why? Taxes! We could write a whole new article on this topic but for now let us just state the fact that it is much easier for the government to milk taxes from stock investors than sports investors.
2013 BASEBALL SEASON
465 WIN - 343 LOSS =57.3%
OUR WAGERING STRATEGY: Start with a comfortable opening bankroll ($55,000 to $150,000). After assigning a bankroll, the strategy is simple money management.. Strict money management will make you money...HIGH ROLLER ONLY